• Goldman Sachs | Our Thinking - 2018 Global Economic Outlook As Good As It Gets
  Their global outlook (available below) predicts 4% GDP growth next year, a forecast notably above consensus expectations and supported by still-easy financial conditions and fiscal policy. Stubbornly low core inflation should also tick up in advanced economies as their labor markets continue to strengthen and the drag from low commodity and import prices unwinds. They look for the Fed to lean against this strength by tightening considerably more than what's priced by the market, attempting to prevent a bigger economic overheating and recession down the road.
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• Inside the Kremlin’s hall of mirrors. By Peter Pomerantsev
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• Leo Szilard Online | ATOMIC BOMB DECISION (Hiroshima-Nagasaki)
  Documents on the decision to use the atomic bomb are reproduced here in full-text form (transcribed by Gene Dannen), and also as images. In most cases, the originals are in the U.S. National Archives. Other aspects of the decision are shown from accounts by the participants.
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  Note: foreignpolicy.com/2013/05/30/the-bomb-didnt-beat-japan-stalin-did thediplomat.com/2015/08/was-nuclear-weapon-use-in-hiroshima-really-a-turning-point-in-world-war-ii foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/05/stalin_japan_hiroshima_occupation_hokkaido thediplomat.com/2014/08/how-hiroshima-and-nagasaki-saved-mil ...morelions-of-lives foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/06/magical-thinking-and-the-real-power-of-hiroshima-nuclear-weapons-japan thediplomat.com/2016/05/what-if-the-united-states-had-told-the-soviet-union-about-the-bomb
• MetaFilter: Pirates' Rule
  The Golden Age of Piracy [video/audio] in the Atlantic peaked as the War of Spanish Succession ended. Piracy was a natural progression for the privateers [2] and buccaneers who had lost their sanctioned prey, and faced little resistance due to a lack of strong government in the majority of the American Colonies. Meanwhile captured naval seamen and slaves often willingly joined with pirates, or fled brutal treatment for the egalitarianism of piracy. This motley crew of motives were united in pirate democracy, laid down in a pirate code, preparing the way for democracy in the United States. But as the popularity of pirate life and pirate utopias grew strong, they became a pest to be mercilessly crushed by colonial opposition and the British navy.
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• New Systems Possibilities and Proposals
  We at the Next System Project want to help dispel the wrongheaded idea that “there is no alternative.” To that end, we have been gathering some of the most interesting and important proposals for political-economic alternatives – in effect, descriptions of new systems. Some are more detailed than others, but each seeks to envision something very different from today’s political economy.
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• pollkatz: polls
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• ProCon.org: Pros and Cons of Controversial Issues
  <rhetoric>
  Pros and cons of controversial issues. Read pro and con arguments for and against topics such as medical marijuana, euthanasia, prostitution, and more
  and con cons controversial critical death debate euthanasia issues marijuana medical penalty pro pros thinking topics
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• The Bomb Didn’t Beat Japan … Stalin Did - Foreign Policy
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• The Bridge
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• The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail (Management of Innovation and Change Series): Clayton
  The author, an associate professor at Harvard Business School, asks why some well-managed companies that stay on top of new technology and practice quality customer service can still falter. His own research brought a surprising answer to that question. Christensen suggests that by placing too great an emphasis on satisfying customers' current needs, companies fail to adapt or adopt new technology that will meet customers' unstated or future needs, and he argues that such companies will eventually fall behind. Christensen calls this phenomenon "disruptive technology" and demonstrates its effects in industries as diverse as the manufacture of hard-disk drives and mass retailing. He goes on to offer solutions by providing strategies for anticipating changes i
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• the National Security Archive: The Robert Gates File: The Iran-Contra Scandal, 1991 Confirmation Hearings, and Excerpts
  Washington D.C., November 10, 2006 - Bush administration nominee for Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates had a long career in government which showed a notable combination of ambition and caution, according to a new book by Archive senior analyst John Prados [Safe for Democracy: The Secret Wars of the CIA (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee, 2006)] which deals with Gates among its much wider coverage of the agency since its inception. As Director of Central Intelligence in the immediate aftermath of the Cold War, Gates faced criticism for moving slowly with reforming the agency for the new era, and thus missing a moment of extraordinary opportunity that occurred at that time. In earlier posts at top levels of the CIA, Gates figured in the Iran-Contra affair, in which he
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• The New York Review of Books: The Berlusconi Show
  An essay on il Buffone <italy>
  Preview of an article by Alexander Stille from The New York Review of Books, May 25, 2006
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• The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis
  David Lazer,Ryan Kennedy,Gary King,Alessandro Vespignani Large errors in fl u prediction were largely avoidable, which offers lessons for the use of big data
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• The Rise of Phantom Investments Empty corporate shells in tax havens undermine tax collection in advanced, emerging market, an
  According to official statistics, Luxembourg, a country of 600,000 people, hosts as much foreign direct investment (FDI) as the United States and much more than China. Luxembourg’s $4 trillion in FDI comes out to $6.6 million a person. FDI of this size hardly reflects brick-and-mortar investments in the minuscule Luxembourg economy. So is something amiss with official statistics or is something else at play?
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• THE VICE GUIDE TO GETTING BEATEN UP
  Don’t be a victim. If some huge fucking Coke machine of a guy tries to attack you, grab his right arm with the forefinger of your left hand, then twist it behind his back and kick in the back of his knees from behind. If he has a knife, use your elbows as side fists and smash his temples at 45 degrees until his pupils dilate. If he gets you into some kind of a headlock, then sit down on one knee so that he’s forced to sit on your lap and then implode his kidneys using the heel of your left palm against your right forearm… blah blah “nose bone into his brain” yadda yadda yadda. Yeah, right. If a huge fucking Coke machine of a guy tries to attack you, that’s it. You’re dead.
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• V/STOL - WAS IT A GOOD IDEA? By David Hobbs
  The concept of producing a practical, winged, aircraft able to use aerodynamic lift for flight, yet capable of Vertical Take Off and Landing (VTOL) has fascinated designers since the dawn of powered flight. Whilst helicopters have achieved it, their fixed wing cousins have not, to anything like the same degree.
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• Vessel of Interest
  наблюдаемое судно
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• Victory Misunderstood
  What the Gulf War Tells Us About the Future of Conflict - The RMA Debate
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• What's Wrong With Copy Protection John Gilmore, 16 February 2001
  Ron Rivest asked me, "I think it would be illuminating to hear your views on the differences between the Intel/IBM content-protection proposals and existing practices for content protection in the TV scrambling domain. The devil's advocate position against your position would be: if the customer is willing to buy extra, or special, hardware to allow him to view protected content, what is wrong with that?"
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• What's Wrong With Copy Protection: John Gilmore, 16 February 2001
  Ron Rivest asked me, "I think it would be illuminating to hear your views on the differences between the Intel/IBM content-protection proposals and existing practices for content protection in the TV scrambling domain. The devil's advocate position against your position would be: if the customer is willing to buy extra, or special, hardware to allow him to view protected content, what is wrong with that?" First, I call it copy protection rather than content protection, because "content" is such a meaningless word. What the technology actually does is to deter copying. Such technologies have a long history in computing, starting with the first microcomputers, minicomputers, and workstations. Except in very small niches, all such systems ultimately failed. Ma
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